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Welcome and thank you for visiting!

The charts, graphs and comments in my Trading Blog represent my technical analysis and observations of a variety of world markets...
* Major World Market Indices * Futures Markets * U.S. Sectors and ETFs * Commodities * U.S. Bonds * Forex

N.B.
* The content in my articles is time-sensitive. Each one shows the date and time (New York ET) that I publish them. By the time you read them, market conditions may be quite different than that which is described in my posts, and upon which my analyses are based at that time.
* My posts are also re-published by several other websites and I have no control as to when their editors do so, or for the accuracy in their editing and reproduction of my content.
* In answer to this often-asked question, please be advised that I do not post articles from other writers on my site.
* From time to time, I will add updated market information and charts to some of my articles, so it's worth checking back here occasionally for the latest analyses.

DISCLAIMER: All the information contained within my posts are my opinions only and none of it may be construed as financial or trading advice...please read my full Disclaimer at this link.

Dots

* If the dots don't connect, gather more dots until they do...or, just follow the $$$...

Bird & Cherry Blossoms

Bird & Cherry Blossoms

ECONOMIC EVENTS

 UPCOMING (MAJOR) U.S. ECONOMIC EVENTS...

***2025***
* Wed. May 7 @ 2:00 pm ET - FOMC Rate Announcement + Forecasts and @ 2:30 pm ET - Fed Chair Press Conference

*** CLICK HERE for link to Economic Calendars for all upcoming events.

Tuesday, February 25, 2025

U.S. BANK BUBBLE AHEAD?

Working on it...








Just sayin'...😏

* UPDATE March 6...

The Trump economic effect on the U.S. stock market: HINT...Destructive, so far.

All gains for 2025 in the Major Averages have been wiped out and they're now under water for the year. 👀

TRUMP: Tariffs are on...oh, wait, they're paused for one month...then one month later, they're on again...no, now they're paused temporarily for another month! 🤢

He may love tariffs and jerking foreign allies around, but it's clear that markets do NOT

More details on tariffs can be read in this ZeroHedge article...and, now, on auto loan defaults, as outlined here...as well as, Trump's possible intention to push the U.S. into a recession via DOGE cuts (and other measures) while blaming it on the remaining effects of "Bidenomics," as described here. BUT, that plan could backfire and recession could degrade into stagflation, instead, so it may not be so smart after all! 👀

In any event, volatility has ramped up in both directions and will likely continue for the foreseeable future, since who, especially foreign and domestic investors and business owners, as well as American consumers, can trust anything President Trump says anymore relative to this topic!

U.S. Major Indices
% Gained/Lost Year-to-Date 2025

U.S. Major Indices
% Gained/Lost Past One Month

U.S. Major Indices
% Gained/Lost Past Week


* UPDATE March 10...

A sea of red in world markets, so far, today...

How they ended the day...🔻...more details and what's ahead here.

* UPDATE March 11...

President Trump is continuing with his greedy economic cannibalization of Canada by imposing additional tariffs in his maniacal trade war, as detailed in this article.

At the same time, he is threatening the national security of his own United States by decimating the flow of crucial goods to and from Canada, its most stable, reliable and long-time trading partner in the world!

WHY??? 👀

How markets are responding, so far, today...🔻

How they ended the day...🔻

The following noteworthy economic data reports are being released this week, as well as the next FOMC rate announcement on Wednesday March 19, which may also have an influencial impact on markets.







N.B. By the way, there's no point in reporting any further on the day-to-day drama caused by Trump's erratic decisions on tariffs and trade, since it's anyone's guess how long that ugly scenario will continue...potentially, for the next four years! 👀

However, the preceding simply illustrates how unhinged from reality they are...and how detrimental they are for the already-weakening U.S. banking sector, as well as the stock market, in general.

Just where the bottom of these markets lie is anyone's guess...possibly at the point when the President eliminates his destabilizing global tariffs and stops his unjustifiable trade war.

P.S. On that note, it is amazing that President Trump continues to, not only lay bare for all to see, but to amplify his total ignorance of world trade practices and agreements (including the existing tri-lateral USMCA trade agreement that he negotiated and signed with Canada and Mexico on November 30, 2018, which replaced the former NAFTA trade agreement), as highlighted in this article

So, it's HIS own trade deal, about which he once bragged as being the "best trade deal ever made," that he now says is crap and unjust toward the U.S.!

Perhaps he is suffering from some form of dementia and/or schizophrenia?...because his rhetoric, threats and outbursts are completely nonsensical, unstable, unpredictable, ever-changing from moment to moment, as well as, unprofessional, and his accusations are false

In a nutshell, his 'modus operandi' is thus: He'll flatter you one moment to soften you up and disarm/distract you, then turn around and, figuratively, stab you in the back the next! 👀

Who could ever trust someone like that? 😕

U.S. Bank/Financial ETFs
% Gained/Lost Past One Month

U.S. Major Sectors
% Gained/Lost Past One Month

BUCKLE UP! 🤢

* UPDATE April 3...

Just when you thought things couldn't get any worse, they did...today was a bloodbath in global markets, following President Trump's unveiling of sweeping so-called "reciprocal tariffs" on countries around the globe yesterday (which he dubbed as "liberation day"). Some of those countries are occupied only by penguins! 😏

The stunning fallout is detailed below...as you can see from the graphics, investors were "liberated" from their money, with the S&P 500 Index, alone, losing $2.4 Trillion in value today.

We'll see how long market makers put up with his nonsense. 👀







Major Global Market Indices
% Gained/Lost Past One Week

Major Global Market Indices
% Gained/Lost Past One Month


Sunday, February 23, 2025

From This Week's "Smile File"...Best Phrase Of The Week 😏

I think Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent nailed it today when he described former President Joe Biden's economic agenda during his one term in office as "orgiastic government spending."

It seems that President Trump's goal is to reprivatize many federal government jobs via an in-depth multi-agency review of waste, fraud and abuse, along with a cost-cutting task, that was handed to the newly-created (temporary) Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE).

They have until July 4, 2026 to complete their assignment...so, we'll see how this impacts fiscal and monetary policies, as well as the overall health of the economy and national security issues by that deadline.


Real Clear Politics excerpt


Tuesday, February 04, 2025

The Art of Conflict Resolution


N.B. While the following process may sound overly simplistic, it can work based on it's simple 'common sense' principles.

Just as there is a process into which an artist immerses himself/herself before creating a masterpiece, there is also a process that can be followed for people to resolve conflicts.


The next time you're about to have a 'discussion' with someone who may have a differing opinion than you about an issue, you may want to ask him/her if they would like to:

  • be clear about the issue,
  • accurately identify and agree upon what you're both trying to achieve, and
  • effectively resolve an issue to your mutual satisfaction.

If he/she is willing, then it may be helpful if you both take a few moments to use the flow chart below to map out exactly what each of you desires...write out your answers separately, then compare notes. You're both more likely to resolve your situation or issue on a 'win-win' basis if you both completely understand each other's points of view and desires. 

Resolving your issue may end up with you both simply 'agreeing to disagree,' respectfully, then moving on, with no hard feelings toward each other...you will likely develop a deeper relationship, as a result...a better place to be, rather than further apart, wouldn't you agree? And, you would both end up creating your own 'masterpiece.'

N.B. While you're discussing the issue, you may find that other issues surface...set those aside to deal with another time, using this method...stick to one issue at a time for best results.



P.S.
 If you're wrestling with several options or paths to follow on a single issue that involves only yourself, you can also use the above approach and play 'devil's advocate' (take both sides) in order to decide which option/path would be best for you to implement.